SendScore

The SendScore Formula

The SendScore estimates how good climbing conditions are at a crag — one number from 0 to 100%, built from weather data and rock physics models with the crag's own characteristics.

The Factors

Sun & Irradiance

We track the sun's position to determine the irradiance at the wall, and evaluate whether it feels comfortable. Too intense on warm days or missing on cold days, both are penalized.

Temperature

Judged on the feels-like temperature at the wall — sun, wind, and humidity folded in. The score drops as it leaves the comfort window (too hot or too cold), which sits cooler for bouldering than sport climbing.

Wind

Judged on the effective wind that actually reaches the wall (see Rock Physics Models below). A light breeze is ideal — it dries holds and skin. Strong wind and heavy gusts are penalized.

Condensation Risk

This is the "silent killer" of friction. If the rock temperature is colder than the dew point of the air, moisture will condense on the rock surface, making it wet even without rain.

Precipitation

Current rain is the biggest score killer. We also consider the probability of precipitation: even if it isn't currently raining, a high forecast risk lowers the score to reflect uncertainty.

Accumulated Moisture

This factor comes from our moisture model. Shaped by the crag's characteristics, it reflects how recent weather conditions drive moisture absorption and evaporation throughout the rock material over time.

Humidity

Low humidity is almost always better for friction. High humidity reduces the score, making the rock feel greasy. The muggy feel of humid air on warm days counts through the feels-like temperature.

Daylight

The score favors daylight hours. It ramps up at sunrise and ramps down at sunset. Climbing is encouraged to happen during the day.

Crag Characteristics

The SendScore is not just about the weather forecast; it is about how that weather interacts with the specific crag. Following characteristics are taken into account in our models.

Orientation

We track the sun's position to determine when each wall is sunlit or shaded. A wall's aspect shapes sun comfort and how warm and dry the rock gets, so the score is computed separately for each orientation.

Inclination

The steepness matters. An overhang or roof receives less rain than a slab or vertical wall, meaning it might stay dry during light rain.

Rock Type

Different rocks absorb water differently. Sandstone might act like a sponge (taking longer to dry), while granite might shed water quickly.

Vegetation

Trees shelter the wall from sun and wind. That shade keeps it cooler, but the blocked sun and wind also mean it dries more slowly after rain.

Rock Physics Models

For each wall orientation we model what the wall — and the climber on it — actually experiences.

Effective Wind Model

The forecast wind is not what the wall feels. We derive the effective wind at the wall dependent on wind direction versus wall orientation, gustiness and the vegetation cover. It drives the wind factor, the wind chill, and the drying of the rock.

Feels-Like Temperature

Our rock physics models determine the temperature actually felt at the crag: air temperature, plus the sun on your skin, plus muggy air on warm days, minus the chill of the effective wind. Computed per wall orientation and judged by the Temperature factor.

Rock Temperature Model

We simulate the thermal mass of the rock. It heats up in the sun and is cooled by wind, by the surrounding air and ground, and radiation to a clear sky at night. This is crucial for predicting humidity condensation on the rock surface.

Moisture Model

We track how much moisture the rock holds — soaked up from rain, or even condensed straight from humid air — shaped by the rocktype and how sheltered the wall is. Wind, sun, and dry air then dry it out, letting us estimate how long the rock stays wet.

Frequently Asked Questions

Two neighbouring crags score very differently — does that make sense?

Often yes. North- versus south-facing, steepness, rock type, and tree cover all change how the same weather plays out — so even nearby crags can legitimately score very differently. It can also happen the other way around: if one crag is missing some of its characteristics, two places that are actually similar may still score differently (see Limitations).

Why do walls of different orientation at the same crag score differently?

Each wall aspect is scored separately: a sunny south face and a shaded north face on the same crag genuinely differ in sun, warmth, and drying. Use the wall-orientation selector on the crag page to switch between them.

A whole crag with many sectors shows as a single entry — why?

Large crags can span several sectors with different aspects and surroundings, but a single entry carries only one set of characteristics — so the same vegetation, inclination, and rock type apply to all of it. The wall-orientation selector lets you pick the most relevant aspect, which covers the biggest difference. Storing each sector as its own entry with its own characteristics would be more accurate; we are steadily improving the database toward that, but a lot of manual work remains.

It stopped raining a while ago — why is the score still low?

The rock holds moisture and dries only gradually. The model tracks that drying, so a crag stays penalised until it has actually dried out — not the moment the rain stops.

It's dry and sunny — why isn't the score higher?

Other factors can hold it back: humidity, condensation risk, wind, temperature, or a high forecast rain probability. The "Why this score?" breakdown on each crag page shows exactly which factor is limiting it.

How accurate is the score?

It's an estimate built from weather forecasts and modelled rock behaviour, not live sensors — so treat it as guidance, not certainty. See the Limitations below for the specifics.

A high score means good conditions — does it mean it's safe to climb?

No. A high score reflects friction and sending potential, not safety, and never replaces your own on-site judgment. See the Disclaimer below.

Limitations

Crag-wise Calculation

The SendScore is calculated for the entire crag and neglects route-specific features. Our models are not aware of seeping holes, tufas, bird droppings, bee nests, dirt from rare visits, loose rock, or other unforeseen condition killers on specific routes.

Model Accuracy

The score relies on weather forecasts which can be inaccurate. Furthermore, rock drying speeds and temperature retention are approximations based on general rock types, not real-time sensor data.

Data Completeness

Accuracy depends on the correctness of crag data (orientation, rock type, altitude) in our database. Where crucial parameters are unknown, we use defaults which may lead to incorrect scores.

Disclaimer

Assess Risks Yourself

Climbing is an inherently dangerous activity. Always assess the risk and conditions of a climb yourself before starting. Do not climb outside if you lack the experience to judge safety and conditions independently.

No Safety Guarantee

A high SendScore indicates good potential for friction and sending conditions, not safety. Never attempt a climb you are not prepared for just because the score is high.

Intended Use

The SendScore is a tool intended to help experienced climbers identify the best potential climbing days. It does not replace common sense or on-site judgement.

Access Regulations

Always respect local crag access regulations, potential bird bans, and parking rules. Inform yourself before visiting a crag.

Liability

The creators of SendScore assume no liability for accidents, injuries, or wasted trips resulting from reliance on this data.